Digital World in 2030 – workshop on Technology trends – European parliament April 23 2013 These are my detailed notes from being the Rapporteur at the workshop on Technology trends at the Digital World in 2030 held at the Altiero Spinelli Building, European Parliament
The session was chaired by Lambert van Nistelrooij, MEP and EIF Governor and besides me, the other panellists were
- Patrik Regårdh, Head of Strategic Marketing, Ericsson
- John Finney, Chief Commercial Officer, O3b Networks
- Matthias Wulff, Head of Communications Clubs and Direct Marketing, Bertelsmann
The event was based on updating the Digital world in 2025 – indicators for European action created in 2009. The aim is not to predict the future – but rather to predict the future directions. The Digital world in 2025 report was based on some key ideas
- A paradigm of mass collaboration
- Living a world of abundance (fast, fat pipes)
- We are going from a world of traditional economy to digitally led economy
- Leading to a new value chain
- In 2025, What will we pay for? What will we invest in?
- How will governance be impacted?
- What R and D investments will be needed?
- We will live in a world of Smart systems and a Data led world. But what does that mean?
- And most importantly – will technology drive people together or pull them apart?
- Finally, what would be the place for Europe?
The objective of the sessions was
- To look at the existing 2025 report i.e. comment on what is in the report, how did that content evolve and comment on what is missing.
- For me, to co-relate the ideas with other key policy discussions ex ESPAS
- The report covered many existing tech trends including – Manycore, terabit networking, next generation internet protocols, a single device accessing all services, internet of things, RFID, ipV6, spectrum management, Cloud, wireless sensor networks, immersive web. How will these evolve?
- The sessions will feed back into the next version of the report
MEP Lambert van Nistelrooij set the stage by indicating that we will have a forward looking debate
And also the context that 2014 was the year of the EU elections
Comments as below:
- The mobile dimension is key – mobile is integrated into everyday life
- Digital Identity is the core of many of the benefits in the report – but Digital Identity is not yet developed and fragmented
- The report does not cover the potential decoupling of value creation and job creation
- In 2030 where will we go when we leave the office?
- The digital infrastructure platform is based on Mobility, Broadband and Cloud. In most cases, it exists but will evolve
- Transformation in society – can be efficiency driven or disruption driven. The later is not covered and not easier to predict
- We need cross sector regulation for many areas like healthcare, transportation etc
- We will face a challenge in managing behavioural change at individual level v.s value chain evolution of industries (ex threat of music industry)
- Companies have plans – but users often do different things
- Spoke of the Tolino platform created with Deutsche Telekom
- Tolino said that is open, cloud based, secure, privacy enabled(does not follow users), more aligned to user process and technology is in the background
- The book business model may change(streaming for books?)
- Comes from the satellite industry
- Demonstrated a video of Steve jobs which said that man is a tool maker and can be faster and better than animals due to better tools
- No one in this room has grown up collaborating with others (unlike the current generation which is doing so)
- We see some key trends 0 new generation has grown up completely online, net generation loves to connect, social networks are core to the Web i.e. now a fundamental part of the Web, traditional corporations are facing competition from ‘clusters of businesses’, peer production is key(IBM-Linux), harnessing human capital involves connecting as many people as possible
- In emerging markets, the capacity to Peer is limited due to lack of connectivity
- Satellites could provide the capacity to add 3 billion more people
- Global collaboration means – open systems, peering, sharing, acting globally
Audience comments and discussions
- Jurgen (from DG connect) – even in hard economic times, ICT practitioners has seen a 3% year on year increase in demand for jobs
- Lambert van Nistelrooij compared to China, korea re broadband uptake
- The rate of change in ICT is great – you would want to be treated by an ‘old’ surgeon (demonstrating experience) – but the same does not necessarily translate to an older IT professional since the rate of change in ICT is high. Hence, a capacity to learn is inherent in ICT education
- How do we know the ‘best’ universities?
- Innovation has cycles. Policy makers miss that
- A paper on innovation in 1988 missed the mobile phone completely!
- iPad for kids may be useful because they can learn faster without having to worry about handwriting!
- For the first time, I heard Rwanda and Estonia mentioned in the same context(uptake of ICT)
Comments welcome. This will be an ongoing discussion leading up to the next version of the report in 2014