Last week, the EIF launched the digital world in 2025 report in the European parliament and I also formally announced the Policy bloggers network. Many thanks for all your comments and feedback and special thanks to Steve Ressler, Andrew Krzmarzick and David Osimo for their help as well.
Here is the Digital world in 2025 report created by the Electronic Internet Foundation. Any comments welcome
Below is the text of my comments on the report in my talk
Technology, convergence and collaboration
• Over the next 15 years, will the digital technologies and tools of mass collaboration draw human society closer together, or will they rather fragment our societies into myriad self-conscious, self-communicating, self-collaborating, self-absorbed communities of special interest or specific identity, with unpredictable political, economic and social consequences?
• What place do we want Europe to occupy in the digital world of 2025, and what public policies do we need – starting today – to make it happen?
• Technology raises fundamental questions about the way our societies and economies work.
• The Internet transform us from a hierarchy to a network
• The network model is pervasive and natural(brain, neurons, ant colonys etc)]
• Networks are Scale free but have critical hubs(take out the hubs and the networks fragment)
• If everyone us separated by just 6 links (six degrees of separation), how can we leverage this property going forward?
• In such a structure: Self-organization is the paradigm. i.e. a spontaneous creation of a globally coherent pattern out of local interactions. Which is why collaboration is the key(and we can call it by any name – even Web 2.0!)
• Intelligence , the capacity to manage and also the responsibility shifts to the edge – and that means to the people! Users can share files, content, data, but also computing and storage resources.
• In 1968 Garrett Hardinan the article “The Tragedy of the Commons”. The article describes a dilemma in which multiple individuals, acting independently according to their self-interest, ultimately destroy a shared limited resource (commons).However, when economists began to look at ecosystems of commonly managed resources he discovered that often they work quite well.
• Wolves/Geese/Ants vs Wildebeest : Natural selection favors cooperation, if the benefit of the altruistic act ‘b’divided by the cost ‘c’, exceed the average number of neighbors, k. cooperation is a consequence of social (and net) viscosity. “A Simple Rule for the Evolution of Cooperation on Graphs and Social Networks”by Ohtsukiet al.
• Technology is good at connecting – but connections are not collaboration
• What not to do? – Japan – Why Japan’s Smartphones Haven’t Gone Global – NYTimes.com – Japan as the Galapagos island
• Convergence is here. We are going from the Internet of computers, to the Internet of people(web 2.0) to the Internet of things
• This convergence will ‘talk’ many languages: through open source, private clouds, Twitter, Skype, LTE. These are important for the next level of collaboration.
• WebOS, The European Cloud, Smart Grid and m-commerce are the key technologies
• M-pesa 6.5 million subscribers by May 2009 with 2 million daily transactions in Kenya alone
• Cambrian. Explosion
• From mass to niche
• Vision – self forming – carpool microcosm Business models
• Tech allows us to form networks. Carpools. or couch surfing http://www.couchsurfing.org/ Microcosm
Policy bloggers network
Announcing Policy bloggers network
Thanks to David osimo steve ressler govloop and Andrew Krzmarzick
Seperate blog on the policy bloggers network