50 Disruptive trends I am tracking at the moment ..

These are the disruptive developments I am tracking(In no particular order!). These are mainly ‘cross stack’ and they range from companies (Skype) to specific products(Palm Pre) to specifics(Android based netbooks). They dont include general themes like ‘Open’ and the ‘Mobile Web’ which I have historically tracked through this blog and my books

Can you suggest more? Am I missing any?

1) Can device mnufacturers who have no previous history be at an advantage?(Ex Palm v.s. Nokia)

2) How many appstores will an operator support?

3) How will Operators try to influence appstores?(ex provide APIs to

specific appstores?, to specific APPs within the appstores etc?)

4) Will RCS have a role to play in LTE?(ex in managing a session that

spans cellular and femto?)

5) Verizon is mandating Ipv6 – what are the implications?

6) What does Intel’s acquisition of wind river mean?

7) What does Intel’s emphasis on 3D mean?

8) What is the implication for video for Cisco’s acquisition of pure

digital? http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/pda/2009/mar/20/digitalvideo-apple

9) Facebook user names and verified twitter accounts are defacto identity systems. Through facebook connect – it is already possible for iPhone apps to have a facebook identity. Will this trend be extended?

10) Qualcomm talks of Smartbook (sub-notebooks which are connected and have a high battery life). This is a new category. Will we see more of this?

11) What about Android netbooks?(ex from Acer)

12) What innovation can emerge from emerging markets and could be deployed globally?

http://www.fastcompany.com/fast50_09/lists/the-most-innovative-companies-in-india.html

http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/133/as-the-world-turns.html

13) Operators will find it difficult to charge for IP. But will they be able to charge for a different format(ex 3D) which will need some greater IP management?

14) Will we see an EU/Japan cloud?

http://news.cnet.com/8301-13846_3-10241081-62.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

15) Will smaller operators behave differently in a recession? Will they want to differentiate and innovate more?

16) IBM’s 100million $ investment in mobile and what it means

17) The rise of Huawei

18) Opera Unite

19) Google Wave

20) Augmented reality browsers

21) Mobile payments http://news.cnet.com/8301-13577_3-10265243-36.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

22) Verizon’s cloud computing ambitions

23) Microblog search http://news.cnet.com/8301-17939_109-10264633-2.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

24) Browser extensions http://news.cnet.com/8301-13505_3-10263598-16.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

25) Will Flash be used as an ‘anti’ iPhone?

26) The impact of Intel Wind river acquisition

27) The impact of the Intel-Nokia partnership

28) Microsoft Hohm – Google power meter etc http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/hohm_microsofts_answer_to_googles_powermeter.php

29) Palm Pre

30) Microsoft Cloud strategy and Azure

31) The tendency towards ‘Green’ phones and will that be a growing trend

32) The death of the feature phone market and the emergence of the smart phone market especially in emerging economies

33) Will smaller Operators and a consortium of smaller Operators act different? Ie be more innovative?

34) How many Operators will leapfrog to LTE?

35) The tendency of CDMA Operators to adopt LTE

36) Appstores

37) Microsoft Bing

38) HTML5

39) Opensorce uptake within micosoft

40) Femtocells

41) Google Flipper

42) VOLGA

43) Twitter search and APIs

44) Intel ATOM

45) Google voice

46) Skype

47) OMTP BONDI

48) Privacy, Identity and Reputation(PhD interest)

The dark side of open: (lack of) Privacy

49) Nokia

50) Integrated design(beyond the UI – http://opengardensblog.futuretext.com/archives/2009/05/the_myth_of_mob.html)

51) (Future and impact of) Internet of things. Thanks @Enrique Ortiz

52) Regional trends Thanks @Tomiahonen

m-wallets/m-payments in Africa(ex MPESA), MVNOs(in some markets), Dual-SIM phones, machine to machine communications

53) Ribbit and Google Voice

http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/06/silicon-valleys-first-phone-co.html

54) Smart grids and LTE

LTE and Smart Grids: A huge opportunity for Telecoms and the Cloud but with caveats for privacy

55) Linux on mobile devices

Nokia – Maemo, Qt et al http://www.rethink-wireless.com/?article_id=1646

Limo and Android

56) Google Chrome OS http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2009/07/introducing-google-chrome-os.html and in general the unification of the mobile and the PC at an OS level

Comments

  1. what about Joost?

  2. Good list Ajit. I also track:
    * Future and Impact of the “Internet of Things”
    * Advances in M2M
    enrique

  3. Ajit Jaokar says:

    Joost .. I am not sure. Not really game changing. Not so far. Nothing in agenda is significant. any reason why you recommend them?